Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Changchun Yatai		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	8.5	6.5	1.27	Watch
	6.25	4.5	1.41
	9.2	5.6	1.28
	10.63	6.13	1.26
	6.72	4.49	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.4
	10.9	6.15	1.26	Watch
	9.2	5.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (4.92)	5.43 ↑ (4.15)	1.33 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
11.2%

Draw
17.4%

Chengdu Rongcheng
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.6%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.6%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chengdu Rongcheng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 3. Wang Yaopeng 20. Xuan Z. 21. Piao Taoyu 10. Omoijuanfo O. 6. Zhang Huachen 37. Zhao Yingjie 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Beric R.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 2. Hu H. 5. Letschert T. 26. Yuan Mincheng 22. Li Y. 11. Gurfinkel Y. 10. Romulo 8. Chow T. (C) 16. Yang Ming-Yang 7. Wei Shihao 9. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
1. An Z. (G) 44. Fan Chao 17. He Yiran 33. Sun Guoliang 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 16. Tudi Dilyimit 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 15. Xu Haofeng 19. Xu Yue 8. Yao Xuchen 7. Zhou Junchen	4. Delgado P. 19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 23. Liao Lisheng 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 20. Tang Miao 17. Wang Dongsheng 15. Yan Dinghao 28. Yang Shuai
Coaches
Xie Hui	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Yuan Mincheng ⚽,
35', Zhang Huachen 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Xu Haofeng ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Wei Shihao ⚽, Felipe Silva (A),
52', 1 - 2, Beric R. ⚽, Tan Long (A),
61', Letschert T. 🟨,
69', Xuan Z. ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
79', Wei Shihao ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
82', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
85', Li Y. ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,
90+1', Romulo ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 1.

Recent matches Changchun Yatai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chengdu Rongcheng in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chengdu Rongcheng could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is a favorite.

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive) Li Shenyuan (Inactive)

There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Kallon I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Han Pengfei (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Changchun Yatai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
20.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
15.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLT
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
20.04.25	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:3 ✺
16.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
03.08.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	4:0
14.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2
12.08.23	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0
14.05.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	2:2
07.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	2:2
01.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1
Chinese Jia League
08.11.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	0:3

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