Match Info

Super League - Round 22

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Referee: Zhang Lei (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Yatai		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.95
	2.62	3.35	2.52
	2.94	3.64	2.36
	3.00	3.24	2.34	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.96	3.45	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.23)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	2.53 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
34.9%

Draw
27.8%

Shenzhen Peng City
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 4. Rosic L. 17. He Yiran 5. Li Shenyuan 21. Piao Taoyu 37. Zhao Yingjie 15. Xu Haofeng 10. Omoijuanfo O. 29. Tan Long (C) 27. Salazar J.	13. Peng Peng (G) 2. Zhang Wei 15. Yu Rui 20. Dugalic R. (C) 5. Hu Ruibao 4. Jiang Zhipeng 27. Abduweli Behram 6. Liao Lisheng 36. Kartsev E. 9. Tiago Leonco 7. Wesley Moraes
Substitutes
1. An Z. (G) 40. Asqer A. 36. Liu Guobao 30. Sun Qinhan 31. Sunzu S. 11. Tian Yuda 22. Wang Yu 20. Xuan Z. 19. Xu Yue 24. Yan Zhiyu 6. Zhang Huachen 7. Zhou Junchen	34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 56. Jiang W. 1. Ji J. (G) 16. Li Zhi 21. Nan Song 19. Orr M. 46. Shen H. 29. Wang Qiao 12. Zhang Xiaobin 28. Zhang Yudong 14. Zhao Shi (G)
Coaches
Soares R.	Munoz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Zhang Wei 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
53', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
71', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
78', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Orr M. ↑,
83', Kartsev E. 🟨,
87', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
90', Yu Rui ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
90+4', Xu Haofeng ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
90+5', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
90+8', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
90+9', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
90+9', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
90+16', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
90+17', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Garcia E. (Red Card) Zhang Yujie (Injury)

There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Injury) Wu Yake (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
16.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLL
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
16.08.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City	4:1 ✺
03.08.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional	2:4 ✺
26.07.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
15.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	3:1
21.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	2:1
01.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
Chinese Jia League
14.10.20	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1
26.09.20	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	1:3
Chinese FA Cup
01.05.19	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 penalties
24.04.18	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties

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