Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Yunnan Yukun		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.75	4.1	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.5
	1.7	4.25	3.9
	1.68	4.48	4.41
	1.83	3.69	3.99	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.5
	1.74	4.37	4.12	Watch
	1.8	4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)	4.17 ↑ (4)	4.15 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
54.9%

Draw
22.5%

Changchun Yatai
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

22.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yunnan Yukun will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ma Zhen (G) 22. Tang Miao 26. Zhang Chenliang 18. Yi Teng (C) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 14. Nene 25. Taty Maritu O. 8. Ye Chugui 30. Saeter J. 7. Luo Jing 9. Pedro H.	28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 4. Rosic L. 17. He Yiran 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 6. Zhang Huachen 27. Salazar J. 21. Piao Taoyu 15. Xu Haofeng 29. Tan Long (C) 10. Omoijuanfo O.
Substitutes
2. Chen Yuhao 19. Duan Dezhi 27. Han Zilong 10. Ionita II A. 4. Li Songyi 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 17. Sun Xuelong 40. Wang Pengbo 29. Yang He 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 20. Zhang Yufeng	1. An Z. (G) 40. Asqer A. 18. JIng Boxi 30. Sun Qinhan 31. Sunzu S. 11. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 22. Wang Yu 20. Xuan Z. 19. Xu Yue 24. Yan Zhiyu 7. Zhou Junchen
Coaches
Andersen J.	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Rosic L. 🟨,
19', Yi Teng ↓, Li Songyi ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Zhang Huachen ⚽,
42', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
54', Luo Jing ↓, Ionita II A. ↑,
64', Asqer A. 🟨,
64', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
65', Zhang Huachen ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
82', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
90+9', 1 - 1, Taty Maritu O. (Pen),
90+11', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Yunnan Yukun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Zhao Yingjie (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Nene (Injury)

There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
23.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	7:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	5:1 ✺
02.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLT
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
24.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun	0:0

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