The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 69.2%
Draw 19.3%
Metropolitano 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
18.9%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
83.3%
15.9%
9.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Chapecoense - Metropolitano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 12 in the zone Relegation to Campeonato Catarinense (Relegation to Play Offs)).
Chapecoense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Metropolitano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Chapecoense is the unquestionable favorite.
In this match Chapecoense is certain favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.