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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 58.8%
Draw 24%
Metropolitano 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
21.8%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
14%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Metropolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Criciúma - Metropolitano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation to Campeonato Catarinense (Relegation to Play Offs) and 11 in the zone Relegation to Campeonato Catarinense (Relegation to Play Offs)).
Recent matches Criciúma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Metropolitano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Metropolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Criciúma is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.
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