Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 7

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Chapecoense		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.47	3.15	2.38
	3.27	3.19	2.34	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.47	3.16	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.09)	3.09 ↓ (3.14)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
28.4%

Draw
30.6%

Corinthians
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	26.7%	73.3%

Chapecoense - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leo Vieira (G) 26. Everton 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 37. Clar W. 99. Rafael Carvalheira 27. Camilo Reijers 5. Joao Vitor 10. Giovanni Augusto 11. Bolasie Y. 7. Marcinho	1. Hugo Souza (G) 20. Milans P. 5. Andre Ramalho 4. Joao Pedro 26. Angileri F. 49. Andre 29. Allan 23. Pereira M. 8. Garro R. (C) 11. Vitinho 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
91. Bruno Pacheco 19. David Antunes 97. Enio 22. Higor Meritao 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 2. Marcos Vinicius 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano	7. Breno Bidon 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 56. Gui Negao 13. Gustavo Henrique 51. Kaue (G) 31. Kayke 52. Labyad Z. 21. Matheus Bidu 2. Matheuzinho 18. Pedro Raul 14. Raniele
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
39', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
43', Angileri F. 🟨,
43', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
45+6', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Italo ↑,
46', Marcinho ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
62', Joao Vitor ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
62', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
66', Rubens Ricoldi 🟨,
68', Pereira M. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
68', Andre ↓, Raniele ↑,
77', Vitinho ↓, Kayke ↑,
77', Milans P. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
78', Bolasie Y. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
86', Joao Pedro 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.

Corinthians might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Felipe Longo (Inactive) Hugo (Injury) Yuri Alberto (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marcos Vinicius (Inactive) Mauricio Garcez (Inactive) Robert Conceicao (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
16.03.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chapecoense - Brusque	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.26	Portuguesa - Corinthians	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
01.11.21	Corinthians - Chapecoense	1:0
08.07.21	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:1
02.10.19	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:1
01.05.19	Corinthians - Chapecoense	1:0
Copa do Brasil
24.04.19	Corinthians - Chapecoense	2:0
17.04.19	Chapecoense - Corinthians	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
25.11.18	Corinthians - Chapecoense	0:0

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