Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	18:30	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	16:30	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	22:30	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Russia	00:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	17:30	Fanatiz
International	21:30	Onefootball


	Internacional RS		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8	Watch
	1.43	4.8	6.75
	1.35	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.36	5.34	9.14
	1.35	5.28	8.47	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.37	5.15	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.68)	5.05 ↑ (3.83)	8.05 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
69.5%

Draw
18.7%

Chapecoense
11.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional RS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Internacional RS - Chapecoense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Internacional (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 4. Torres F. 25. Mercado G. 6. Matheus Bahia 8. Bruno Henrique 5. Villagra R. 10. Alan Patrick (C) 28. Vitinho 19. Borre R. 7. Carbonero J.	12. Leo Vieira (G) 26. Everton 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 37. Clar W. 27. Camilo Reijers 22. Higor Meritao 99. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Giovanni Augusto 77. Italo 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 12. Anthoni (G) 26. Bernabei A. 17. Bruno Tabata 18. Juninho 27. Paulinho Paula 14. Rodriguez A. 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia 41. Victor Gabriel	91. Bruno Pacheco 19. David Antunes 97. Enio 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 5. Joao Vitor 7. Marcinho 2. Marcos Vinicius 18. Neto Pessoa 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 25. Victor Caetano
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Mercado G. ⚽, Vitinho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
46', Clar W. ↓, Bruno Pacheco ↑,
49', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Alan Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
57', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
60', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
60', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
62', Matheus Bahia ↓, Bernabei A. ↑,
62', Carbonero J. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
69', Bruno Gomes ↓, Victor Gabriel ↑,
70', Everton 🟨,
78', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
83', Borre R. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
83', Bruno Henrique ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
88', Vitinho 🟨,
90+4', Everton 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 3.

Internacional is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chapecoense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Internacional is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33:40	-7	32
20	Chapecoense-SC	30	3	9	18	30:62	-32	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Internacional RS - Bahia	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.10.21	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	5:2
24.06.21	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2
22.09.19	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	1:0
27.04.19	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	2:0
17.09.18	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	2:1
21.05.18	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	3:0
15.08.16	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:0

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