Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Location: Patriots Point Soccer Complex (Mount Pleasant, SC)

Referee: Calume A. (Usa)


	Charleston Battery		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.72	Watch
	3.95	3.7	1.71
	3.7	3.65	1.74
	3.91	3.87	1.82
	4.1	3.76	1.73	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.55)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleston Battery
23.5%

Draw
24.4%

Rio Grande Valley
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Charleston Battery - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Charleston Battery will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Rio Grande Valley will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Grande Valley: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 6 (28.8%), has project points - 47, has currently - 39, has a good chance of playoffs (71%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 15, small importance 18, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Charleston Battery is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Grande Valley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
16.09.22	Memphis 901 - Charleston Battery	5:0 ✺
10.09.22	Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Charleston Battery - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Charleston Battery	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWTL
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
17.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	3:1 ✺
07.09.22	El Paso Locomotive - Rio Grande Valley	0:2 ✺
31.08.22	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW

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