Match Info

USL League One

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.60	3.20
	1.80	3.65	3.45
	2.00	3.81	3.30
	1.83	4.25	3.46	Watch
	1.97	3.60	3.25
	1.95	4.00	3.26	Watch
	1.93	3.60	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)	3.79 ↓ (3.9)	3.28 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
47.9%

Draw
24.2%

Fort Wayne
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Charlotte Independence - Fort Wayne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Coulibaly S. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 6. Fuchs J. 8. Jaime C. 10. Bakero J. 24. Amaya J. 9. Manzinga C. 26. Marou S.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 3. Vukovic A. 12. Gafar K. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 11. Healy T.
Substitutes
13. Guffroy M. 19. Martinez E. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V. 22. Riascos K. 7. Saydee P. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)	40. Bonnaire M. (G) 8. Garay J. 25. Jiana M. 17. Neidlinger L. 13. Rempel M. 23. Thomas J.
Coaches
Jeffries M.	Avery M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Jaime C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vukovic A. ↓, Rempel M. ↑,
51', Nieto E. 🟨,
54', Dias T. 🟨,
63', Jaime C. 🟨,
71', Bakero J. ↓, Guffroy M. ↑,
71', Nieto E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
71', Manzinga C. ↓, Riascos K. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Dias T. ⚽, Becher R. (A),
83', Gafar K. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
86', Coulibaly S. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
86', Amaya J. ↓, Saydee P. ↑,
86', Fuchs J. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
87', Healy T. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Stefano Pinho ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 8th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Charlotte Ind is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

Charlotte Ind is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fort Wayne has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Fort Wayne has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Charlotte Ind for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Charlotte Ind has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
19.09.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Boise - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC	5:4 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW
- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.05.26	Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence	2:2

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