Match Info

USL League One

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fort Wayne		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.40	3.70
	1.8	3.35	3.75
	1.78	3.51	4.08
	1.82	3.64	4.06	Watch
	1.74	3.4	4
	1.74	3.44	4.11	Watch
	1.81	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	3.45 (3.45)	3.91 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
50.7%

Draw
26.2%

Naples
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Fort Wayne - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 41. Musa J. 4. Dias T. (C) 13. Rempel M. 25. Jiana M. 8. Garay J. 86. Armas J. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 11. Healy T.	1. Delgado L. (C) 20. Yearwood J. 4. Uderitz H. 5. Mastrantonio L. 3. Cisneros J. 6. Ciss O. 11. Garcia C. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 9. Miglietti G. 45. Likulia N.
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 12. Gafar K. 33. Hagaman T. 6. Jordan J. 24. Lacey K. 18. Nieto E. 23. Thomas J. 3. Vukovic A.	19. Arevalo W. 10. Ferrin A. 99. Grant J. (G) 7. Gray T. 23. Mesias A. 8. Osorio J. 22. Yoder J.
Coaches
Avery M.	Gordon Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Likulia N. (Penalty Awarded),
11', 0 - 1, Cisneros J. ⚽, O'Connor K. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Garcia C. ⚽,
25', Cisneros J. 🟨,
45+3', Likulia N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jiana M. ↓, Gafar K. ↑,
46', Garcia C. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
46', Garay J. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
46', Awoudor C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
54', Mastrantonio L. 🟨,
57', Rempel M. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
61', Likulia N. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
65', Armas J. 🟨,
67', Thomas J. 🟨,
67', Cisneros J. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
79', Delgado L. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Dias T. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
84', O'Connor K. ↓, Yoder J. ↑,
84', Ciss O. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
88', Musa J. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Becher R. ⚽,
90+6', Yoder J. 🟨,
90+7', Gray T. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 12th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Naples could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Fort Wayne is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fort Wayne has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- FC Naples
USL League One
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
26.08.26	Naples - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
07.03.26	Naples - Fort Wayne	2:0

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