Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Charlotte Independence		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.70	3.60
	1.78	3.45	3.7
	1.81	3.84	3.61
	1.83	3.97	3.71	Watch
	1.76	3.75	3.5
	1.74	3.72	3.87
	1.77	3.55	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.57)	3.71 ↓ (3.85)	3.66 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
50.9%

Draw
24.4%

Sarasota Paradise
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 4. Coulibaly S. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 13. Guffroy M. 8. Jaime C. 24. Amaya J. 10. Bakero J. 26. Marou S.	1. Sutton A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 4. Watters D. (C) 3. Valentine R. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 11. Karani S. 7. Bryant E. 18. Krueger B. 17. Bolanos J. 19. McLaughlin G.
Substitutes
6. Fuchs J. 16. Lyons M. 19. Martinez E. 21. Nare T. 11. Ortiz V. 22. Riascos K. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)	23. Amedeka R. (G) 9. Bender J. 2. Burlew R. 27. O'Dwyer C. 46. Roed S. 20. Tainio M. 32. Terzaghi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Marou S. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Bakero J. ⚽,
14', 3 - 0, Jaime C. ⚽, Skinner J. (A),
36', Guffroy M. ↓, Ortiz V. ↑,
45', Stretch C. 🟨,
45+4', Bolanos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stretch C. ↓, Burlew R. ↑,
46', Bryant E. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
50', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
60', Karani S. ↓, Roed S. ↑,
71', Amaya J. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
71', Bolanos J. ↓, Bender J. ↑,
74', Krueger B. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
77', Dimick C. 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, Burlew R. ⚽,
86', Bakero J. ↓, Riascos K. ↑,
86', Skinner J. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
86', Marou S. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
90', Burlew R. 🟨,
90+3', Walker A. 🟨,
90+3', Walker A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Charlotte Ind has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarasota Paradise's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of home games.

Recently, Sarasota Paradise has had a series of away games.

In this match, Charlotte Ind is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL Cup
12.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	2:4 ✺
USL League One
08.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Sarasota Paradise - Miami	0:5 ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Richmond Kickers - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Corpus Christi - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL

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