Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Aston Villa U21

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	7
	1.28	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.28	5.85	8.25
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.22	6.4	9.3
	1.28	5.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.45)	5.73 ↑ (4.5)	8.08 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
72.6%

Draw
16%

Aston Villa U21
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charlton Athletic - Aston Villa U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 5. Ness L. 26. Elerewe D. 39. Laqeretabua J. 32. Asiimwe N. 27. Campbell C. 14. Kirk C. 25. Watson L. 10. Fraser S. (C) 11. Leaburn M. 20. Campbell T.	42. Marschall F. (G) 51. Rowe T. 59. Feeney J. 63. Smith K. 45. Chrisene B. 47. Iroegbunam T. 46. Richards R. 58. O'Reilly T. (C) 70. Pierre K. 68. Moore K. 61. Ealing F.
Substitutes
22. Aneke Ch. 2. Jones L. 38. Kedwell H. 9. May A. 31. Molyneux H. (G) 30. Tedic S. 18. Watson T.	74. Alcock T. 77. Borland A. 75. Broggio B. 69. Munroe F. 60. O'Reilly A. 76. Pavey C. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Appleton M.	Idiakez I.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Charlton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlton is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
07.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWT
- Aston Villa U21
English Premier League Cup
06.10.23	Aston Villa U21 - Hull City U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Aston Villa U21 - Sunderland U21	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Charlton Athletic - Aston Villa U21	2:1

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