Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Charlton Athletic		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.16	3.26	2.33	Watch
	3.22	3.36	2.38
	3.17	3.34	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.16	3.2	2.28	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
29.8%

Draw
29.2%

Middlesbrough
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	9.8%	80.4%

Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 5 - 9.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 41 - 80.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 69.5% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Middlesbrough (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 8%). Middlesbrough (votes: 20 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 3. Gillesphey M. 5. Jones L. (C) 2. Ramsay K. 28. Bree J. 6. Coventry C. 8. Berry L. 14. Carey S. 7. Campbell T. 41. Knibbs H. 11. Leaburn M.	31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 5. Jones A. 3. Targett M. 24. Bangura A. 11. Whittaker M. 14. Gilbert A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 8. McGree R. 9. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D.
Substitutes
18. Anderson K. 30. Apter R. 10. Docherty G. 37. Fullah I. 36. Gough K. 25. Mannion W. (G) 22. Olaofe T. 26. Rankin-Costello J. 15. Roussillon J.	12. Ayling L. 16. Browne A. 25. Edmundson G. 17. Hamilton M. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 43. Patterson-Powell R. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S.
Coaches
Jones N.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', Knibbs H. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, McGree R. ⚽, Burgzorg D. (A),
38', Bree J. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Whittaker M. ⚽, McGree R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coventry C. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
46', Carey S. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
46', Knibbs H. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
63', Whittaker M. ↓, Edmundson G. ↑,
63', Bangura A. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
67', Berry L. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
69', McGree R. 🟨,
73', Conway T. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
73', McGree R. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
75', Docherty G. 🟨,
78', Bree J. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Edmundson G. (Own goal),
82', Ramsay K. 🟨,
89', Burgzorg D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1.

Charlton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Middlesbrough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Middlesbrough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Inactive) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury) Burke R. (Foot Injury) Kelman C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury) Morris A. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Charlton Athletic - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.03.20	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	0:1
07.12.19	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	1:0
13.03.16	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	2:0
31.10.15	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	3:0
07.02.15	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	3:1
27.09.14	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	0:0
18.01.14	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	1:0

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