Match Info

Championship - Round 17

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Middlesbrough		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.76	3.34	2.56
	2.8	3.45	2.63
	2.78	3.44	2.45	Watch
	2.71	3.26	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.78)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
34.4%

Draw
28.2%

Coventry City
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	29.2%	41.7%

Middlesbrough - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Coventry will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 14.1% – 55.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Coventry (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 50%). Coventry (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 16. Browne A. 12. Ayling L. (C) 5. Jones A. 2. Brittain C. 7. Hackney H. 18. Morris A. 22. Silvera S. 9. Conway T. 11. Whittaker M. 8. McGree R.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 29. Torp V. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 28. Eccles J. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
10. Burgzorg D. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 40. McCormick G. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K. 3. Targett M.	8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 5. Rudoni J. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
Viveash A.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Simms E. ⚽, Torp V. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Kitching L. ⚽, Grimes M. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Whittaker M. ⚽, Jones A. (A),
41', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Morris A. ↓, Targett M. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Thomas B. (Own goal),
55', Eccles J. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
59', McGree R. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
76', Sakamoto T. ↓, Rudoni J. ↑,
76', Torp V. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
81', Whittaker M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
81', Conway T. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Kitching L. ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, Simms E. ⚽, Dasilva J. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 0.

Recent performances by Middlesbrough have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coventry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
22.11.25	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Watford - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
22.11.25	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Stoke City - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Coventry City - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Wrexham - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Coventry City - Watford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0
02.11.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:3
01.01.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:3
12.08.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:0
17.05.23	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:1
14.05.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	0:0
08.05.23	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:1

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