Match Info

Championship - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Charlton Athletic		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.81	3.35	2.51	Watch
	2.72	3.3	2.7
	2.64	3.18	2.74	Watch
	2.76	3.14	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.64)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
34.6%

Draw
29.1%

Southampton
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Charlton Athletic - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). S`hampton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - S`hampton (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - S`hampton (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 25%). S`hampton (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 30. Apter R. 6. Coventry C. 14. Carey S. 27. Hernandez O. 10. Docherty G. (C) 11. Leaburn M. 7. Campbell T.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 15. Wood N. 5. Stephens J. (C) 18. Fellows T. 48. Bragg C. 20. Jander C. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 9. Armstrong A. 13. Scienza L.
Substitutes
18. Anderson K. 8. Berry L. 37. Fullah I. 36. Gough K. 41. Knibbs H. 38. Laqeretabua J. 25. Mannion W. (G) 22. Olaofe T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.	7. Aribo J. 4. Downes F. 42. Downs D. 12. Edwards R. 26. Fraser R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 17. Quarshie J. 46. Robinson J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Jones N.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
14', 0 - 1, Manning R. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Armstrong A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, Jander C. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
22', 0 - 4, Azaz F. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
24', Apter R. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
43', 0 - 5, Azaz F. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 5, Jones L. ⚽, Carey S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Campbell T. 🟨,
61', Docherty G. 🟨,
65', Azaz F. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
65', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
73', Docherty G. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
73', Carey S. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
73', Coventry C. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
75', Ramsay K. 🟨,
75', Armstrong A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
75', Bragg C. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
77', Rankin-Costello J. 🟨,
77', Leaburn M. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
85', Fellows T. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 18).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury) Burke R. (Foot Injury) Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bragg C. (Hamstring Injury) Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Kelman C. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Archer C. (Injury) Fraser R. (Inactive) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
08.11.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Charlton Athletic - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTTW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
08.11.25	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
05.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Southampton - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bristol City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

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