Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlton Athletic		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.46	3.05	3.14	Watch
	2.5	3.15	3.3
	1.35	4.19	12.06	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.47	3.19	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	4.37 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
45.3%

Draw
31.3%

Millwall
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millwall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millwall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Charlton Athletic - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Millwall (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Charlton (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 30. Apter R. 14. Carey S. 7. Campbell T. 23. Kelman C.	13. Benda S. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 23. Bryan J. 10. Neghli C. 21. Luongo M. 25. Cundle L. 22. Emakhu A. 9. Ivanovic M. 19. Coburn J.
Substitutes
28. Bree J. 32. Burke R. 37. Fullah I. 3. Gillesphey M. 41. Knibbs H. 11. Leaburn M. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 22. Olaofe T. 26. Rankin-Costello J.	7. Ballo T. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 27. Grant K. 45. Harding W. 16. Kelly D. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 3. Sturge Z. 6. Taylor C.
Coaches
Jones N.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Carey S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Crama T. 🟨,
55', Ramsay K. 🟨,
61', Apter R. ↓, Bree J. ↑,
61', Kelman C. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
65', Jones L. 🟨,
66', Neghli C. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
66', Ivanovic M. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
74', Ramsay K. 🟨,
80', Leonard R. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
83', Campbell T. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Bangura-Williams R. ⚽,
90', Emakhu A. ↓, Harding W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0.

Charlton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Millwall has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Charlton: Bree J. (Leg Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Ankle Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Langstaff M. (Hip Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Thigh Injury) Smallbone W. (Calf Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Millwall - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
30.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Leicester City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Charlton Athletic - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTW
- Millwall
English League Championship
30.08.25	Millwall - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Millwall - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Sheffield United - Millwall	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Millwall - Middlesbrough	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Newport County - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	2:2
English League Championship
03.07.20	Charlton Athletic - Millwall	0:1
09.11.19	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	2:1
English League One
14.01.17	Charlton Athletic - Millwall	0:0
21.12.16	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	3:1
English League Championship
03.04.15	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	2:1
22.11.14	Charlton Athletic - Millwall	0:0

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