Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.66	4	5	Watch
	1.69	3.78	4.61
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.65	3.98	5.15	Watch
	1.66	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.14)	3.87 ↑ (3.44)	5 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
56.8%

Draw
24.3%

Reading
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlton Athletic's performance.

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	9.2%	6.2%

Charlton Athletic - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (55 of 65 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.85% – 93.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 10. Docherty G. (C) 6. Coventry C. 7. Campbell T. 8. Berry L. 11. Leaburn M. 26. Small T.	22. Pereira J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 6. Dean H. 24. Bindon T. 32. Kanu A. 2. Abrefa K. 29. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 7. Knibbs H. 10. Smith S. 30. Garcia A.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 18. Anderson K. 22. Aneke Ch. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 25. Mannion W. (G)	39. Ahmed A. 1. Button D. (G) 34. Holzman L. 49. Osho E. 14. Rushesha T. 44. Sackey T. 19. Wareham J.
Coaches
Jones N.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Abrefa K. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
79', Ahmed A. 🟨,
81', Leaburn M. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
89', Campbell T. ↓, Godden M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1.

Charlton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Charlton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlton have a series of home games.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
29.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:5 ✺
14.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTL
- Reading
English League One
01.01.25	Cambridge United - Reading	1:3 ✺
29.12.24	Reading - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Reading - Northampton Town	4:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lincoln City - Reading	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Reading - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
31.08.24	Reading - Charlton Athletic	2:0
10.02.24	Reading - Charlton Athletic	2:0
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Reading - Charlton Athletic	2:1 penalties
English League One
21.10.23	Charlton Athletic - Reading	4:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Reading - Charlton Athletic	1:1
English League Championship
11.07.20	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:1
31.08.19	Reading - Charlton Athletic	0:2

Upcoming Matches