Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Finley Stadium (Chattanooga, TN)

Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Chattanooga		Atlanta United

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.75	1.3	Watch
	7.7	4.95	1.36
	9.11	4.96	1.33
	5.24	4.23	1.52	Watch
	5	3.8	1.44
	6.59	5.21	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (4.99)	4.65 ↑ (4.28)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga
13.9%

Draw
19.8%

Atlanta United
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

21.5%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

18.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Chattanooga - Atlanta United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chattanooga will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 4. Hanchard M. 5. Sar-Sar F. 13. Sorenson A. 10. Mangarov D. 47. Jones I. 3. Robertson T. 9. Barker D. 33. McGrath A. (C) 23. Krehl A.	42. Hibbert J. (G) 47. Edwards M. 2. Hernandez R. 6. Berrocal J. 18. Amador P. 35. Fortune A. 28. Reilly W. 88. Galarza M. 59. Miranchuk Al. (C) 30. Togashi C. 22. Picault F.
Substitutes
26. Ancelin K. 7. Garcia A. 19. Gordon A. 77. Huff G. (G) 14. Koehler N. 6. Louis S. 17. Ortiz D.	10. Almiron M. 3. Baez E. 20. Brennan L. 1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 8. Muyumba T. 48. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Dixon R.	Martino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Tcheuyap Y. ⚽, Robertson T. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Togashi C. ⚽, Fortune A. (A),
23', Edwards M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Almiron M. ↑,
46', Galarza M. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
63', Krehl A. ↓, Ancelin K. ↑,
63', Mangarov D. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Picault F. ⚽,
71', Almiron M. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Amador P. ⚽, Brennan L. (A),
78', Brennan L. 🟨,
78', Robertson T. 🟨,
81', McGrath A. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
81', Barker D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
83', Togashi C. ↓, Baez E. ↑,
83', Reilly W. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,

Preview

Chattanooga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlanta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga FC
MLS Next Pro
11.04.26	Chattanooga - Orlando City B	3:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Chattanooga - Tennessee Tempo	1:0 ✺
MLS Next Pro
28.03.26	Chattanooga - Columbus Crew 2	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Huntsville City - Chattanooga	3:2 penalties ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Chattanooga - Kalonji Pro-Profile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Atlanta United
MLS
11.04.26	Chicago Fire - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Atlanta United - DC United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlanta United - Real Salt Lake	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
20.04.22	Atlanta United - Chattanooga	6:0

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