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Current Win Probability
Sarasota Paradise 40.3%
Draw 25.9%
Chattanooga Red Wolves 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27.9%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
27.2%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarasota Paradise's performance.
Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chattanooga Red Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarasota Paradise that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chattanooga Red Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sutton A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 4. Watters D. (C) 2. Burlew R. 36. Rosa A. 46. Roed S. 9. Bender J. 27. O'Dwyer C. 16. Rodriguez A. 17. Bolanos J. 32. Terzaghi E.
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 7. Hernandez O. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. Wessels W. 30. Lombardi A. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 10. Bentley M.
Substitutes
23. Amedeka R. (G) 50. Brulinski D. 7. Bryant E. 53. Elovaara E. 11. Karani S. 18. Krueger B. 60. McGurk M. 20. Tainio M. 3. Valentine R.
24. Apolinar R. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 23. Lelin Y. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 4. Vaughan J.
Coaches
Elovaara M.
MacKenzie S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Rosa A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Hernandez O. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 1, Terzaghi E. ⚽, Rosa A. (A),
45+2', 3 - 1, Bolanos J. ⚽, Terzaghi E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bender J. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
64', Lombardi A. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
65', Wessels W. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
65', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Knapp M. ↑,
68', Burlew R. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
68', Roed S. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
73', Ayimbila J. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
73', Bentley M. ↓, Apolinar R. ↑,
75', Karani S. 🟨,
79', Vaughan J. 🟨,
83', Bolanos J. ↓, Tainio M. ↑,
83', Terzaghi E. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
90+3', Terzaghi E. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Mercer G. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Sarasota Paradise has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Chattanooga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Sarasota Paradise has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarasota Paradise won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
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Sutton A. (G) 
Stretch C. 
Rosa A. 
Roed S. 
Terzaghi E. 
Ramos J. 
Ayimbila J. 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Wessels W. 
Bentley M. 
Tainio M. 
Jerez R. (G) 
Lelin Y. 
MacKenzie S. 
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