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Current Win Probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves 37.7%
Draw 26%
Union Omaha 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
27.1%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
26.1%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Omaha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Omaha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 23. Lelin Y. 10. Bentley M. 6. Wessels W. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 7. Hernandez O. 30. Lombardi A.
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 16. Wootton L. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 20. Ors Navarro S. 77. Gavilanes A. 22. Tekiela K. 9. Botello Faz P.
Substitutes
24. Apolinar R. 33. Ayimbila J. 47. Binns R. 19. Donoho N. 12. Jerez R. (G) 66. Knapp M. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 4. Vaughan J.
7. Billhardt A. 28. Caceres E. 21. Gomez A. 27. Jiba R. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 12. Vargas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ors Navarro S. ⚽, Guediri S. (A),
22', Hernandez O. 🟥,
35', Guediri S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lombardi A. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Gavilanes A. ⚽, Botello Faz P. (A),
52', 1 - 2, Ramos J. ⚽, Wessels W. (A),
59', Guediri S. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
60', Tekiela K. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
62', Lelin Y. 🟨,
67', Wessels W. ↓, Apolinar R. ↑,
67', Lelin Y. ↓, Ayimbila J. ↑,
71', Ramos J. 🟨,
71', Gavilanes A. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
75', Bentley M. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
80', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
80', Botello Faz P. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
81', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
82', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Knapp M. ↑,
82', Ramos J. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Gomez A. ⚽,
89', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
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Smith J. (G) 
Ramos J. 
Lelin Y. 
Bentley M. 
Wessels W. 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Boudadi Y. 
Owusu S. 
Gabriel Cabral 
Tekiela K. 
Botello Faz P. 
Jerez R. (G) 
Caceres E. 
Jiba R. 
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