Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Naples		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.15
	2.7	3.6	2.48
	2.79	4.24	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.1
	2.89	3.55	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.43)	3.61 ↑ (3.23)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
32.7%

Draw
25.4%

Charlotte Independence
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Independence's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naples, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Naples - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Naples will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Charlotte Ind will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 31. Rose T. 9. Miglietti G. 5. Mastrantonio L. 3. Cisneros J. 21. Torrellas M. 7. Gray T. 23. Mesias A. 14. O'Connor K. 10. Ferrin A. 19. Arevalo W.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 8. Jaime C. 47. Alvarez L. 7. Saydee P. 19. Martinez E. 10. Bakero J. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
18. Bachstein D. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 11. Garcia C. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 8. Osorio J. 22. Yoder J.	16. Lyons M. 9. Manzinga C. 21. Nare T. 39. Neeley J. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V. 1. Tasouris G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Saydee P. ⚽,
14', Cisneros J. 🟨,
20', Manin R. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Marou S. ⚽, Jaime C. (A),
39', 0 - 3, Alvarez L. ⚽, Jaime C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cisneros J. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
46', Arevalo W. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Alvarez L. ⚽, Dimick C. (A),
60', Torrellas M. ↓, Bulai-Tudor A. ↑,
60', Ferrin A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
64', Martinez E. ↓, Ortiz V. ↑,
65', Marou S. ↓, Manzinga C. ↑,
65', Manin R. ↓, Neeley J. ↑,
69', Rose T. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
71', 0 - 5, Bakero J. ⚽, Saydee P. (A),
72', Alvarez L. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
79', Romero J. 🟨,
79', 1 - 5, Gay H. ⚽, Miglietti G. (A),
80', Saydee P. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
85', Gay H. 🟨,

Preview

Naples has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charlotte Ind is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Naples won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte Independence - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
30.05.26	Union Omaha - Naples	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Naples - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
30.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
15.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Corpus Christi - Charlotte Independence	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Boise	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
25.10.25	Naples - Charlotte Independence	2:0
12.09.25	Charlotte Independence - Naples	0:1

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