Match Info

USL League One

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		Naples

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.55	4.65
	1.62	3.79	4.85
	1.63	3.97	4.9	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.59	3.68	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.62)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	4.8 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
56.3%

Draw
24.7%

Naples
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.2%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Union Omaha - Naples Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. (C) 6. Guediri S. 23. Boudadi Y. 16. Wootton L. 8. Gabriel Cabral 11. Borczak D. 20. Ors Navarro S. 9. Botello Faz P. 22. Tekiela K.	1. Delgado L. (C) 8. Osorio J. 9. Miglietti G. 5. Mastrantonio L. 3. Cisneros J. 23. Mesias A. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 7. Gray T. 19. Arevalo W. 10. Ferrin A.
Substitutes
77. Gavilanes A. 21. Gomez A. 17. Gutierrez D. 27. Jiba R. 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G)	18. Bachstein D. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 12. Gay H. 17. Halterman T. (G) 31. Rose T. 22. Yoder J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Arevalo W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lawrence C. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
46', Osorio J. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
46', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
48', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
59', Gray T. 🟨,
60', Borczak D. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
61', Arevalo W. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
63', Ferrin A. 🟨,
67', Mesias A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽,
72', Gay H. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Jiba R. ⚽, Gutierrez D. (A),
78', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
83', Ferrin A. ↓, Yoder J. ↑,
83', Gray T. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
90+4', Tekiela K. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Union Omaha is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naples has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Union Omaha is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37

Last Results with these Odds

Union Omaha - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 55.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
27.05.26	New York Cosmos - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Union Omaha - Louisville City	1:5 ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWT
- FC Naples
USL League One
23.05.26	Naples - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Naples	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Naples - One Knoxville	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.11.25	Naples - Union Omaha	1:0 penalties
05.10.25	Union Omaha - Naples	1:0
25.05.25	Naples - Union Omaha	3:1

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