Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Richmond Kickers		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.60	2.75
	2.33	3.40	2.50
	2.12	3.79	3.00
	2.49	3.54	2.6	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.45
	2.14	3.92	2.88	Watch
	2.10	3.50	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.02)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.71 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
40.8%

Draw
25.5%

New York Cosmos
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

24.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-5%)

Richmond Kickers - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 3. Anderson H. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 45. Hanson H. 32. Bolduc M. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 12. O'Malley O. 19. Espinal D. 9. Kirkland J. 14. Vazquez Z.	30. Stephani T. (G) 22. Bohui P. 25. Chavez J. 4. Chilaka M. 2. Morabito M. 20. Mendonca N. 7. Ljucovic F. 6. Holt A. 15. Ramos O. 8. Spengler A. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 11. Pannholzer T. 6. Sasankhah A. 35. Sneddon J. (G)	17. Galazzini D. 26. Garcia J. (G) 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 24. Noecker W. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', O'Malley O. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Espinal D. ⚽,
45', Spengler A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morabito M. ↓, Noecker W. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Espinal D. ⚽,
55', Kirkland J. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
57', Bohui P. 🟨,
57', Mendonca N. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
70', Galazzini D. 🟨,
70', Espinal D. ↓, Pannholzer T. ↑,
72', Ramos O. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
72', Holt A. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
72', Chavez J. ↓, Materazzi D. ↑,
75', Vazquez Z. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
76', Barnathan D. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
76', O'Malley O. ↓, Sasankhah A. ↑,
79', Sasankhah A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).

Richmond Kickers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

New York Cosmos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

New York Cosmos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
01.08.26	Richmond Kickers - AV Alta	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Richmond Kickers - Spokane Velocity	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLW
- New York Cosmos
USL League One
25.07.26	New York Cosmos - Boise	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Westchester SC - New York Cosmos	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	New York Cosmos - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	New York Cosmos - Naples	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW

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