The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 39.5%
Draw 24.5%
Portland Hearts of Pine 36%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.1%
27.1%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
26%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richmond Kickers's performance.
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Richmond Kickers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Hearts of Pine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (C) 3. Anderson H. 4. Layton S. 34. Howell B. 45. Hanson H. 6. Sasankhah A. 32. Bolduc M. 14. Vazquez Z. 12. O'Malley O. 19. Espinal D. 9. Kirkland J.
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 44. Faye S. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 98. Kidd M. 21. Georgallides K. 18. Barbosa D. 11. Kamara J. 35. Huck T.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 7. Johnson L. 99. Moore D. 26. Murana M. 11. Pannholzer T. 35. Sneddon J. (G)
24. Felipe 16. Gonzalez D. 66. Green K. 4. Letayf D. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 7. Varela W.
Coaches
Ownby B.
Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Vazquez Z. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),
42', Kamara J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Vazquez Z. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
66', Espinal D. 🟨,
69', Bolduc M. ↓, Pannholzer T. ↑,
70', Huck T. ↓, Felipe ↑,
70', Sasankhah A. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
70', Kamara J. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
70', Barbosa D. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Kirkland J. ⚽, O'Malley O. (A),
78', Kirkland J. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
85', Amer A. 🟨,
90+1', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Green K. ↑,
90+1', Georgallides K. ↓, Letayf D. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
Richmond Kickers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hearts of Pine's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
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Fillion Y. (C) 
Anderson H. 
Layton S. 
Espinal D. 
Faye S. 
Hata E. 
Poon-Angeron M. (C) 
Georgallides K. 
Barbosa D. 
Kamara J. 
Huck T. 
Pannholzer T. 
Felipe 
Green K. 
Letayf D. 
Varela W. 
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