The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Hearts of Pine 52%
Draw 23.8%
AV Alta 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
26%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
24.3%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Hearts of Pine's performance.
AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AV Alta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Hearts of Pine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AV Alta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 44. Faye S. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 11. Kamara J. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 4. Letayf D. 98. Kidd M. 9. Camara A. 16. Gonzalez D.
22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 4. Pajaro M. (C) 16. Ceja E. 15. Winum M. 2. Ortiz C. 21. Villalobos J. 5. Alassane M. 23. Thomas R. 9. Acuna J. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
18. Barbosa D. 25. Espinosa E. 24. Felipe 66. Green K. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 7. Varela W. 10. Wright O.
20. Antwi G. 42. Garcia J. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 32. Jahng E. 52. Ramos S.
Coaches
Murphy B.
Kleiban B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Desdunes J. 🟨,
42', Desdunes J. ↓, Higareda S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Alassane M. 🟨,
62', Letayf D. 🟨,
66', Relerford N. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
66', Alassane M. ↓, Jahng E. ↑,
68', Pajaro M. 🟨,
70', Camara A. ↓, Felipe ↑,
78', Kidd M. 🟨,
78', Winum M. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
78', Thomas R. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
80', Letayf D. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
80', Kidd M. ↓, Wright O. ↑,
83', Smith D. 🟨,
89', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
90+3', Kamara J. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Faye S. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
90+10', Wright O. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hearts of Pine is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
AV Alta
29
8
8
13
35:42
-7
32
14
Portland Hearts of Pine
29
7
10
12
43:53
-10
31
Last Results with these Odds
AV Alta - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Morse H. (G) 
Faye S. 
Hata E. 
Kamara J. 
Poon-Angeron M. (C) 
Letayf D. 
Camara A. 
Pajaro M. (C) 
Winum M. 
Alassane M. 
Desdunes J. 
Barbosa D. 
Felipe 
Green K. 
Varela W. 
Wright O. 
Antwi G. 
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