The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union Omaha 56.6%
Draw 23.3%
AV Alta 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
22.7%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
23.7%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Union Omaha - AV Alta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 19. Lawrence C. 28. Caceres E. 8. Gabriel Cabral 17. Gutierrez D. 22. Tekiela K. 20. Ors Navarro S. 9. Botello Faz P.
22. Smith D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 99. Bahena Jr C. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. 11. Aoumaich I. 7. Desdunes J. 18. Aoumaich A.
Substitutes
77. Gavilanes A. 21. Gomez A. 99. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 3. Malone B. 5. Orson J. 16. Wootton L.
5. Alassane M. 19. Anderson C. 20. Antwi G. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 10. Ibarra M. 12. Relerford N. 15. Winum M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Aoumaich A. ⚽, Desdunes J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Aoumaich I. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
46', Tekiela K. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
46', Gutierrez D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
52', Lawrence C. 🟨,
57', Kallman B. 🟨,
65', Lawrence C. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
65', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
67', Kallman B. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
73', Ortiz C. ↓, Relerford N. ↑,
74', Aoumaich A. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Botello Faz P. ⚽, Boudadi Y. (A),
79', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
80', Desdunes J. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Gabriel Cabral ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
89', Pehlivanov K. ↓, Winum M. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent performances by Union Omaha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Union Omaha is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.