Match Info

USL League One

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portland Hearts of Pine		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.15
	2.75	3.30	2.23
	2.84	3.71	2.21
	2.88	3.75	2.19	Watch
	2.80	3.65	2.16
	2.85	3.52	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
32.3%

Draw
25.7%

Union Omaha
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

25.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts of Pine (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 5. Lopez M. (C) 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 2. Jones-Riley J. 8. Poon-Angeron M. 16. Gonzalez D. 99. Drack J. 11. Kamara J. 9. Camara A. 10. Wright O.	99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 3. Malone B. 6. Guediri S. 16. Wootton L. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 21. Gomez A. 12. Vargas M. 17. Gutierrez D. 20. Ors Navarro S.
Substitutes
18. Barbosa D. 25. Espinosa E. 44. Faye S. 21. Georgallides K. 98. Kidd M. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 20. Sing D.	9. Botello Faz P. 28. Caceres E. 77. Gavilanes A. 27. Jiba R. 14. Kallman B. 19. Lawrence C. 24. Nuhu R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽, Wootton L. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Gabriel Cabral ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
39', Lopez M. 🟨,
40', Owusu S. 🟨,
45+7', Wright O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez M. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
46', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
55', Guediri S. 🟨,
55', Guediri S. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
61', Vargas M. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
61', Malone B. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
66', Camara A. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
66', Gomez A. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
66', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
75', Barbosa D. 🟨,
79', Kamara J. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,
84', Wootton L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Hearts of Pine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Union Omaha's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Union Omaha could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
17.07.26	Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - New York Cosmos	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
03.07.26	Naples - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
19.06.26	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL
- Union Omaha
USL League One
18.07.26	Union Omaha - Westchester SC	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	4:3 ✺
USL League One
01.07.26	Union Omaha - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Boise - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
09.05.26	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2
01.10.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0
15.06.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	3:1
10.05.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2

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