Match Info

FNL - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Chelyabinsk		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.22	3.15	2.4
	3.15	3.05	2.36	Watch
	2.91	2.98	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.42 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
30.4%

Draw
30.7%

Rodina Moscow
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

31.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 66. Gudkov Y. 5. Gatin B. 2. Zhirov A. 17. N'Diaye B. 70. Levin G. 77. Samoilov D. 27. Kochiev K. 18. Kertanov K. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 88. Eza W.	13. Volkov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 52. Kuzmichev I. 55. Krizan M. 80. Bessmertniy S. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. (C) 7. Gueye P. 10. Reyna Y. 72. Gordyushenko A. 9. Maksimenko A.
Substitutes
79. Abdullin R. 33. Agaev A. 23. Emelyanov D. 22. Gapechkin A. 7. Malyarov N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 15. Pushkarev D. 29. Urvantsev M. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)	1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 88. Sokol A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,
32', Bessmertniy S. 🟨,
35', Gueye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Gudkov Y. 🟨,
56', N'Diaye B. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
60', Gordyushenko A. 🟨,
71', Dyatlov I. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
71', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
75', Eza W. 🟨,
75', Eza W. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
75', Kertanov K. ↓, Emelyanov D. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Levin G. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', Gatin B. ↓, Gapechkin A. ↑,
82', Samoilov D. 🟨,
82', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
83', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
87', Gueye P. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Zhirov A. ⚽,
89', Musaev L. 🟨,
90', 4 - 0, Levin G. ⚽,
90+1', Urvantsev M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

Chelyabinsk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rodina is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
14.09.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Fakel	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chelyabinsk - Sokol Saratov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTW
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
15.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5 ✺
29.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

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