Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 14

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)


	Ural		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.46	8.15
	1.45	4.45	6.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.46 ↑ (3.94)	7.39 (7.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural
66%

Draw
21.2%

Tyumen
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

23.4%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ural - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Mamin A. (G) 2. Begic S. 5. Egorychev A. 24. Filipenko E. 6. Goglichidze L. 43. Margasov T. 8. Miskic D. (C) 42. Mosin E. K. 17. Sekulic M. 75. Sungatulin F. 4. Yusupov A.	97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 13. Petrov M. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 30. Shavlokhov D.
Substitutes
99. Arapov D. (G) 55. Ayupov T. 22. Beveev M. 10. Bicfalvi E. 27. Chudin I. 15. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 18. Morozov N. 7. Porokhov I. 14. Zheleznov Y.	2. Kalugin N. 11. Karpov D. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Averyanov E.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Mosin E. K. ⚽,
44', Miskic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Poroykov S. ↓, Maryanov A. ↑,
61', Savinov A. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
64', Mosin E. K. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
72', Begic S. 🟨,
72', Kenfak O. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
72', Kulishev A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
83', Miskic D. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
90+2', Yusupov A. ↓, Chudin I. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ural is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tyumen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ural is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ural won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
05.10.24	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ural	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	KAMAZ - Ural	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Arsenal Tula - Ural	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWWL
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
05.10.24	Tyumen - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL Cup
11.02.18	Tyumen - Ural	2:3
24.02.17	Ural - Tyumen	1:2 penalties

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