Match Info

National League South - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.52	3.95	5.5
	1.5	4.15	6.49
	1.59	4.13	5.06	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.51	4.06	6.24
	1.57	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.76 ↑ (3.51)	5.19 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
57.7%

Draw
24.5%

Bath City
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Chelmsford City - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Barbrook H. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Grimwood J. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Egbo M. ⚽,
39', 4 - 0, Barbrook H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 5 - 0, Grimwood J. ⚽,
62', 6 - 0, Adigun J. ⚽,
73', 7 - 0, Uchegbulam J. ⚽,
79', 7 - 1, Skinner L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4.

Chelmsford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bath is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bath has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelmsford is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Chelmsford will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.09%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
28.02.26	Torquay United - Chelmsford City	0:5 ✺
23.02.26	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTTW
- Bath City
English National League South
03.03.26	Bath City - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4 ✺
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1
04.02.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:1
07.09.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:0
16.03.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:1
02.12.23	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:3
04.02.23	Chelmsford City - Bath City	0:2
01.11.22	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1

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