Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.54	3.8	5.1
	1.6	3.8	4.8
	1.68	3.75	4.95
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.61	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	4.96 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
57.3%

Draw
24.3%

Cheshunt
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Chelmsford City - Cheshunt Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cheshunt will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Chelmsford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cheshunt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Cheshunt have a series of home games.

In this match Chelmsford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
27.09.22	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Taunton Town - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Chelmsford City - Kings Langley	6:1 ✺
English National League South
12.09.22	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Chelmsford City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL
- Cheshunt FC
English National League South
27.09.22	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	0:3 ✺
24.09.22	Cheshunt - Tonbridge Angels	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Cheshunt - St Neots Town	3:1 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Worthing - Cheshunt	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Cheshunt - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Chelmsford City - Cheshunt	1:2

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