Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.71
	4.2	3.6	1.78
	4.4	3.69	1.76
	4.4	3.69	1.76
	3.4	3.5	1.91
	4.25	3.6	1.77
	4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.54)	3.57 ↑ (3.54)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
22.4%

Draw
25.8%

Chelmsford City
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Taunton Town - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Bell Z. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Grimes N. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Francis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90', 2 - 2, Ruff C. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, Ruff C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chelmsford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Taunton have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelmsford is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Taunton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
20.03.24	Taunton Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Eastbourne Borough - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Torquay United - Taunton Town	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Worthing - Taunton Town	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Truro City - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LLWWL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
16.03.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:1 ✺
12.03.24	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Truro City - Chelmsford City	1:4 ✺
04.03.24	Chelmsford City - Worthing	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Chelmsford City - Aveley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.10.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	0:0
29.04.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	1:2
24.09.22	Taunton Town - Chelmsford City	0:0
English FA Trophy
26.11.16	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	1:0

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