Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.25	5.5
	1.47	4.3	5.93
	1.74	3.70	4.30	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.16
	1.6	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)	4.05 ↑ (3.7)	5.04 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
58.9%

Draw
22.8%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Pegrum C. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Gardner H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1.

Recent performances by Hornchurch have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hampton & Richmond is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hampton & Richmond may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hampton & Richmond has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hornchurch is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hornchurch - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Slough Town - Hornchurch	2:5 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Peterborough Sports - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
21.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Merthyr Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.11.24	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1
10.08.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	1:3
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	3:2 penalties
06.10.18	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	1:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.15	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:1
27.09.14	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1
19.04.14	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3

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