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Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, September 27, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Benin	Benin TV, ORTB
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 9
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv, K24
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, SuperSport 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Seyshelles	SBC
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 4
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Daystar Pacific
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Chelsea		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.5
	2.02	3.8	3.5
	2.04	3.7	3.8
	1.81	3.58	4.30	Watch
	1.98	3.83	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3.73 ↓ (4.08)	3.78 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
48.8%

Draw
25.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

23.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelsea's form might have worsened.

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	3.3%	21.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 68 - 74.7%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 20 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 65.8% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Brighton & Hove (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Chelsea (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 39 - 78%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 18%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 24. James R. (C) 23. Chalobah T. 21. Hato J. 3. Cucurella M. 17. Andrey Santos 25. Caicedo M. 41. Estêvão 8. Fernandez E. 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 17. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Minteh Y. 25. Gomez D. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 5. Badiashile B. 49. Garnacho A. 32. George T. 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 27. Gusto M. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R.	21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 8. Gruda B. 20. Milner J. 23. Steele J. (G) 9. Tzimas S. 18. Welbeck D. 27. Wieffer M.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Veltman J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Fernandez E. ⚽,
42', Cucurella M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Chalobah T. 🟥,
54', Andrey Santos ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
55', Veltman J. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
63', Estêvão ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
64', Wieffer M. 🟨,
66', James R. 🟨,
67', Baleba C. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
67', Mitoma K. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Minteh Y. (A),
79', Hato J. ↓, Badiashile B. ↑,
79', Neto P. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
85', Rutter G. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
85', Gomez D. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
89', Badiashile B. 🟨,
89', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
90', Dunk L. 🟨,
90', Sanchez R. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, De Cuyper M. ⚽, Wieffer M. (A),
90+10', 1 - 3, Welbeck D. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
90+11', Welbeck D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.

In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Buonanotte F. (Loan agreement) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Acheampong J. (Illness) Guiu M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English League Cup
23.09.25	Lincoln City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chelsea - Fulham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English League Cup
23.09.25	Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	2:1
English Premier League
28.09.24	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2
15.05.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	1:2
03.12.23	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2
English League Cup
27.09.23	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3

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