Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Fulham

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5
	1.6	4.2	5.25
	1.62	4.05	5.6
	1.66	4.05	5.51
	1.68	3.66	5.12	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.66	4.26	5.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	4.06 ↓ (4.38)	5.25 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
58.3%

Draw
23.5%

Fulham
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.7%	9.9%	2.5%

Chelsea - Fulham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Chelsea (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Fulham (3.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 94.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 32 - 82.1%). Fulham (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 4. Adarabioyo T. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 41. Estêvão 20. Joao Pedro 7. Neto P. 9. Delap L.	1. Leno B. (C) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 21. Castagne T. 24. King J. 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 14. Essugo D. 29. Fofana W. 32. George T. 11. Gittens J. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)	10. Cairney T. 15. Cuenca J. 7. Jimenez R. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 33. Robinson A. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A. 8. Wilson H.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Delap L. ↓, George T. ↑,
38', Caicedo M. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Fernandez E. (Pen),
60', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
60', Castagne T. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
67', Sessegnon R. ↓, Robinson A. ↑,
67', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
68', Estêvão ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
73', Iwobi A. 🟨,
81', George T. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
81', Neto P. ↓, James R. ↑,
84', Iwobi A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
90+4', Andrey Santos 🟨,
90+7', Lukic S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4.

Chelsea is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fulham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fulham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Jackson N. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Nkunku C. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Wilson H. (Foot Injury)

We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.8%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
17.08.25	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Chelsea - Milan	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
13.07.25	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWW
- Fulham FC
English League Cup
27.08.25	Fulham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Fulham - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.04.25	Fulham - Chelsea	1:2
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2
13.01.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:0
02.10.23	Fulham - Chelsea	0:2
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Chelsea - Fulham	2:0
English Premier League
03.02.23	Chelsea - Fulham	0:0
12.01.23	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1

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