Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Sky Go
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Lincoln City		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	13	6.25	1.17	Watch
	12.5	7.9	1.18	Watch
	12.13	7.36	1.22
	7.17	4.93	1.38	Watch
	13.5	6.75	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.66 ↓ (15.28)	6.64 ↓ (7.88)	1.23 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
8.2%

Draw
14.4%

Chelsea
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.1%

11.8%

82.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Lincoln City - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1, 1st Half - Chelsea (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jeacock Z. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 4. Montsma L. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 17. Street R. 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 18. House B. 34. Draper F.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 23. Chalobah T. 21. Hato J. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 17. Andrey Santos 11. Gittens J. 40. Buonanotte F. 49. Garnacho A. 32. George T.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 9. Collins J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 3. Reach A. 12. Ring E. 11. Thorn O. 1. Wickens G. (G)	25. Caicedo M. 3. Cucurella M. 41. Estêvão 58. Harrison O. 24. James R. 62. Mheuka S. 7. Neto P. 44. Slonina G. (G) 46. Walsh R.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Andrey Santos 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Street R. ⚽, Varfolomeev I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, George T. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, Buonanotte F. ⚽, George T. (A),
54', Fernandez E. 🟨,
56', Draper F. 🟨,
59', Garnacho A. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
63', House B. 🟨,
70', George T. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
70', Fernandez E. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
70', Gittens J. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
71', House B. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
71', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
71', Street R. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
71', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
83', Collins J. 🟨,
85', Montsma L. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
90', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
90+3', Cucurella M. 🟨,
90+4', Buonanotte F. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,

Preview

Lincoln is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelsea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lincoln has had a series of home games.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sanchez R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Lembikisa D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Palmer C. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
20.09.25	Lincoln City - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Lincoln City - Notts County	3:0 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Lincoln City - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWT
- Chelsea
English Premier League
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chelsea - Fulham	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWW

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