Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	01:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 7, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport
India	00:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	02:00	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	13:00	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	00:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	FPT Play


	Brentford		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.60	2.60
	2.50	3.60	2.60
	2.60	3.60	2.60
	2.61	3.72	2.70
	2.77	3.79	2.46	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.70
	2.74	3.64	2.49	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.77)	3.66 ↓ (3.77)	2.6 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
36.8%

Draw
26.3%

Chelsea
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

25.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.3%	36.2%	42.6%

Brentford - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). Chelsea will win (votes: 20 - 42.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 36.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 28.5% – 56.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Chelsea (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brentford (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 97%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chelsea (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 44. Schuster J. 20. Ajer K. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 6. Yarmolyuk Y. 27. Janelt V. (C) 19. Anthony J. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 9. Thiago I.	1. Martinez E. (G) 3. Fofana W. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Colwill L. (C) 7. Neto P. 14. Henderson J. 4. Barco V. 29. Chavarria P. 10. Palmer C. 17. Rogers M. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
31. Balcombe E. (G) 14. Carvalho F. 25. Diouf M. 48. Fredrick B. 3. Henry R. 2. Hickey A. 11. Ouattara Da. 18. Sangare M. 13. Wilson C.	34. Acheampong J. 41. Estêvão 11. Gittens J. 27. Gusto M. 21. Hato J. 45. Lavia R. 32. Nicoll-Jazuli M. 39. Penders M. (G) 23. Quenda G.
Coaches
Andrews K.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Anthony J. ⚽, Schuster J. (A),
69', Kayode M. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
69', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
71', Welbeck D. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
71', Fofana W. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
81', Anthony J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
81', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Thiago I. ⚽,
84', Thiago I. 🟨,
85', Sangare M. 🟨,
87', Barco V. ↓, Nicoll-Jazuli M. ↑,
87', Neto P. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
87', Damsgaard M. ↓, Carvalho F. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Carvalho F. ⚽, Schade K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 0.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Brentford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brentford has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Chelsea has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Brentford: Collins N. (Injury) Dasilva J. (Injury) Furo K. (Surgery) Jensen M. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg S. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Chelsea: Joao Pedro (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Injury) Emegha E. (Injury) Henderson J. (Wrist Injury) Palestra M. (Injury).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Brentford has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:22 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brentford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 0.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
6	Brentford	8	2	5	1	14:9	5	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 6.16% Brentford: 0.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelsea - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English League Cup
15.09.26	Reading - Brentford	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leeds United - Brentford	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
12.09.26	Chelsea - Hull City	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Chelsea - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
17.01.26	Chelsea - Brentford	2:0
13.09.25	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2
06.04.25	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0
15.12.24	Chelsea - Brentford	2:1
02.03.24	Brentford - Chelsea	2:2
28.10.23	Chelsea - Brentford	0:2
26.04.23	Chelsea - Brentford	0:2

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