Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2
	4.2	3.7	1.85
	3.91	3.62	1.99
	3.4	3.4	1.85
	3.72	3.66	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.48)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
25.1%

Draw
26.2%

Barnsley
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.2%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Cheltenham Town - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Long S. (C) 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 15. Ferry W. 23. Bonds E. 8. Sercombe L. 3. Williams B. 11. Street R. 10. Keena A. 9. Goodwin W.	1. Roberts L. (G) 4. Lopata K. 41. Shepherd J. 2. Williams J. (C) 17. Cotter B. 30. Phillips A. 3. Russell J. 8. Kane H. 7. Cadden N. 44. Cole D. 45. McAtee J.
Substitutes
16. Adshead D. 5. Bevan O. 38. Butler-Oyedeji N. 20. Harris M. (G) 25. Peupion C. 14. Thompson C. 26. Williams J.	38. Chapman T. 6. Durand de Gevigney M. 23. Killip B. (G) 19. Marsh A. 26. McCart J. 32. Nejman H. L. 36. Watters M.
Coaches
Elliott W.	Collins N.

Preview

Cheltenham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barnsley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Barnsley is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
26.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Reading - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL
- Barnsley FC
English League One
26.08.23	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
15.08.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Barnsley - Tranmere Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.02.23	Cheltenham Town - Barnsley	0:4
06.08.22	Barnsley - Cheltenham Town	1:0

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