Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.75
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.4	4.5
	1.84	3.27	4.5
	1.87	3.46	4.73
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.84	3.48	4.54	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	3.43 ↓ (3.63)	4.55 ↓ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
51.9%

Draw
27.5%

Burton Albion
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

24.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 5. Smith A. 33. Davies C. 4. Bradbury T. 2. Long S. (C) 8. Sercombe L. 34. Pett T. 7. Kinsella L. 15. Ferry W. 9. Taylor M. 19. Lloyd G.	1. Crocombe M. (G) 23. Bola T. 37. Hamer T. 2. Brayford J. (C) 6. Sweeney R. 3. Seddon S. 7. Powell J. 4. Oshilaja A. 25. Gilligan C. 17. Helm M. 20. Ola-Adebomi A.
Substitutes
23. Bonds E. 25. Harrop J. 10. Keena A. 26. Nuttall J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 14. Shepherd J. 27. Thomas J.	30. Blackman J. (G) 21. Carayol M. 8. Harper R. 15. Hudlin K. 44. Hugill J. 18. Kamwa B. 46. Nsiala A.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Paterson M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0.

Cheltenham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Burton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cheltenham is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
27.02.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
13.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTWWW
- Burton Albion
English League One
27.02.24	Burton Albion - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Leyton Orient - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.04.23	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	0:0
22.10.22	Burton Albion - Cheltenham Town	1:0
08.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	1:1
27.08.21	Burton Albion - Cheltenham Town	1:1
English League Two
07.02.15	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	1:3
27.09.14	Burton Albion - Cheltenham Town	1:0
11.01.14	Burton Albion - Cheltenham Town	2:1

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