Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Barnsley		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.25	2.35
	3.26	3.26	2.38
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.18	3.26	2.29	Watch
	3	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
29.9%

Draw
29.3%

Sheffield Wednesday
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Isted H. (G) 12. Thomas B. 6. Andersen M. (C) 5. Kitching L. 2. Williams J. 30. Phillips A. 48. Connell L. 8. Kane H. 7. Cadden N. 31. Tedic S. 44. Cole D.	25. Dawson C. (G) 6. Iorfa D. 20. Ihiekwe M. 33. James R. 13. Paterson C. 2. Palmer L. 10. Bannan B. (C) 18. Johnson M. 11. Windass J. 24. Smith M. 9. Gregory L.
Substitutes
10. Benson J. 40. Collins B. (G) 24. Cundy R. 9. Norwood J. 3. Russell J. 16. Thomas L. 47. Watters M.	8. Adeniran D. 3. Brown J. 17. Dele-Bashiru F. 44. Flint A. 32. Hunt J. 31. Stockdale D. (G) 4. Vaulks W.
Coaches
Duff M.	Moore D.

Preview

Playing at Wembley Stadium.

Barnsley has the most likely position - 4 (100%), project points - 86, currently - 86, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (27%), not chance of win league.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 96, currently - 96, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (33%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, very big importance 100, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 3.

Recent matches Barnsley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheff Wed is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sheff Wed will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
19.05.23	Barnsley - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnsley	4:4 ✺
25.04.23	Barnsley - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
18.05.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Peterborough United	6:1 penalties ✺
12.05.23	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
07.05.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.03.23	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2
03.09.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Barnsley	0:2
English League Championship
20.03.21	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2
12.12.20	Sheffield Wednesday - Barnsley	1:2
08.02.20	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
10.08.19	Sheffield Wednesday - Barnsley	2:0
10.02.18	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1

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