Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield Wednesday		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.7	4	4.8
	1.72	4.08	4.77
	1.7	3.8	4.6
	1.7	3.98	4.6	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)	3.99 ↑ (3.6)	4.65 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
55.9%

Draw
23.7%

Peterborough United
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	8%	8%

Sheffield Wednesday - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheffield Wednesday will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 96, currently - 96, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (33%), not chance of win league.

Peterborough has the most likely position - 6 (100%), project points - 77, currently - 77, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (17%), not chance of win league.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sheff Wed to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
12.05.23	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
07.05.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Peterborough United
English League One
12.05.23	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
07.05.23	Barnsley - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Peterborough United - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
18.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.05.23	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0
04.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Peterborough United	1:0
16.08.22	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0
English League Championship
27.04.13	Peterborough United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
03.11.12	Sheffield Wednesday - Peterborough United	2:1

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