The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 25.1%
Draw 28.1%
Lincoln City 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
26.5%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lincoln City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Cheltenham Town - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Lincoln will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 71.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 33. Davies C. 3. Williams B. 4. Bradbury T. 8. Sercombe L. 2. Long S. (C) 7. Kinsella L. 23. Bonds E. 15. Ferry W. 9. Taylor M. 27. Thomas J.
1. Jensen L. (G) 25. Mitchell A. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 5. Jackson A. 2. Sorensen L. 6. Erhahon E. 14. Mandroiu D. 23. Roughan S. 18. House B. 9. Taylor J. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
25. Harrop J. 26. Nuttall J. 39. Obieri S. 17. Olayinka J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 14. Shepherd J. 5. Smith A.
16. Burroughs J. 22. Eyoma T. 27. Makama J. 28. Moylan J. 41. Okoro Z. 12. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Clarke D.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Sercombe L. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Taylor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Draper F. ⚽,
54', Bonds E. 🟨,
57', Bonds E. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
57', Williams B. ↓, Nuttall J. ↑,
67', Thomas J. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
71', Bradbury T. ↓, Harrop J. ↑,
76', Davies C. 🟨,
81', Taylor J. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
86', Harrop J. 🟨,
86', Draper F. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
87', Long S. 🟨,
90+2', Sorensen L. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
90+2', Mandroiu D. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0.
Cheltenham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lincoln is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lincoln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Lincoln will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Watch
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Southwood L. (G) 
Davies C. 
Williams B. 
Bradbury T. 
Long S. (C) 
Bonds E. 
Jensen L. (G) 
Erhahon E. 
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