Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
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Finland	Viaplay
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Poland	Viaplay
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Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Forest Green Rovers		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	8.25	4.4	1.39
	9	4.5	1.4
	9.88	4.51	1.4
	9	4.2	1.38
	8.7	4.6	1.38	Watch
	8.4	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.82 ↑ (6.2)	4.42 ↑ (4)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
10.7%

Draw
21.4%

Sheffield Wednesday
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.7%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21.7%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	0%	93.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheffield Wednesday will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (95.02%), project points - 29, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (73.59%), project points - 100, currently - 78, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a good chance of promoted (93%), a good chance of win league (74%).

This event has small quality 13, importance 50, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Forest Green has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheff Wed is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
18.03.23	Plymouth Argyle - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ipswich Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
21.03.23	Barnsley - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2 ✺
17.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Charlton Athletic - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.08.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Forest Green Rovers	5:0

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