The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 33.4%
Draw 30.2%
Gillingham 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
29.6%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
28.9%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
45.5%
18.2%
Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 11. Thomas J. 4. Ashfield H. 23. Hutchinson I. 20. Bickerstaff J. 9. Davison J.
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 30. Gale S. 5. Smith A. 3. Clark M. 8. Little A. (C) 4. Masterson C. 19. Vokes S. 23. Dack B. 14. McKenzie R. 38. Hale R.
Substitutes
14. Broom R. 7. Deeming C. 41. Diallo M. (G) 22. Faal M. 16. Martin J. 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G.
9. Andrews J. 32. Cirino L. 27. Khumbeni N. 7. McCleary G. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 25. Turner J. (G) 10. Williams J.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Hale R. ⚽, Vokes S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
59', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
59', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Young L. (A),
68', Masterson C. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
74', Faal M. 🟨,
77', Hale R. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
77', Smith A. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
78', Vokes S. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
90+4', Dack B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
90+4', Thomas J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Faal M. ⚽,
90+6', Ashfield H. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gillingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Gillingham: 2% Cheltenham: 1.26%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gillingham
10
4
4
2
15:10
5
16
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.