Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 15

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Wigan Athletic		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.2	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.27	3.65	2.2
	3.27	3.65	2.2
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.22	3.58	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.55	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	3.58 ↑ (3.37)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
29.6%

Draw
26.5%

Oxford United
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wigan Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Wigan Athletic - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 7. Clare S. 6. Hughes C. (C) 4. Morrison L. 5. Sessegnon S. 16. Shaw L. 26. Adeeko B. 14. Jones J. 10. Aasgaard T. 17. Godo M. 11. Humphrys S.	1. Beadle J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 18. McGuane M. 6. McEachran J. 7. Mills S. 20. Rodrigues R. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
12. Amos B. (G) 19. Lang C. 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 3. Pearce T. 23. Rekik O. 25. Stones J.	10. Bodin B. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 25. Gorrin A. 23. Murphy J. 39. O'Donkor G. 15. Stevens F. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Manning L.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2.

Recent matches Wigan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oxford have a series of home games.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
21.10.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Wigan Athletic - Portsmouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL
- Oxford United
English League One
21.10.23	Oxford United - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Oxford United - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:1
18.12.21	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	2:3
14.02.21	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	2:1
21.11.20	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:2
17.04.18	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:0
23.12.17	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	0:7

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