Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.99	3.18	2.58
	2.87	3.07	2.44	Watch
	2.81	3.16	2.5	Watch
	2.87	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	3.19 ↑ (3.07)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
33%

Draw
29.3%

Wigan Athletic
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Exeter City - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 4. Turns E. 14. Niskanen I. 12. Cole R. 6. Brierley E. 21. Andrew D. 17. Higgins A. 2. McMillan J. 9. Wareham J.	1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 19. Robinson L. 6. Weir J. 8. Wright C. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 9. Saydee C.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 8. Francis E. 27. Magennis J. 29. McDonald K. 34. Oakes L. 15. Yfeko J.	37. Asamoah M. 23. Carragher J. 31. Cooper O. 44. Hungbo J. 20. McManaman C. 10. Mullin P. 30. Savin T. (G)
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Lowe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Wright C. ⚽, Fox M. (A),
31', Wareham J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Higgins A. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Cole R. (A),
64', Smith M. 🟨,
69', Murray F. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
77', McMillan J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
84', Robinson L. ↓, Carragher J. ↑,
90+3', Cole R. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
90+3', Wareham J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
90+3', Saydee C. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 15).

Exeter is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wigan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Wigan has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McHugh H. (Inactive) Sze C. (Foot Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J. (Inactive) Rydel R. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T. (Muscle Injury) Rogers J. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Wigan Athletic - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Halifax Town - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Exeter City - Arsenal U21	4:3 ✺
English League One
23.10.25	Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Stockport County - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLT
- Wigan Athletic
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wigan Athletic - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Wigan Athletic - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.04.25	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	1:1
28.09.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	0:0
10.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	1:2
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2
English League One
21.10.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2

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