The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 32.5%
Draw 32.5%
Chelyabinsk 35%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.3%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
31.3%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's form might have worsened.
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Ismagilov A. (G) 7. Dzhamilov S. 24. Kakhidze A. 22. Khomukha I. 14. Mashukov I. (C) 12. Mukba E. 6. Pechenkin N. 13. Puzanov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 96. Vasiljev N.
93. Tuseev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 15. Kochiev K. (C) 70. Levin G. 50. Lystsov V. 6. Makarov S. 33. Pokotylo D. 7. Safronov I. 29. Urvantsev M.
Substitutes
11. Abdullaev S. 38. Aleynikov V. 15. Bondar A. 27. Budylin A. 1. Golubev A. (G) 31. Kasimov T. 9. Kotik A. 5. Musalov M. 17. Nikishin K. 28. Platonov P. 19. Sharifullin L.
72. Bem A. 5. Gatin B. 27. Gribakin I. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 18. Kertanov K. 11. Miroshnichenko G. 17. N'Diaye B. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 24. Pridava N. 77. Samoilov D.
Coaches
Evdokimov R.
Pilipchuk R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Urvantsev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Puzanov S. 🟨,
60', Vasiljev N. ↓, Sharifullin L. ↑,
61', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Platonov P. ↑,
61', Mashukov I. ↓, Aleynikov V. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Urvantsev M. ⚽,
66', Sharifullin L. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Sukhomlinov D. ⚽,
72', Safronov I. 🟨,
72', Safronov I. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
75', Pokotylo D. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
80', Pyatkin I. ↓, Kotik A. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Puzanov S. ⚽,
84', Makarov S. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Neftekhimik (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Chelyabinsk have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Neftekhimik could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Neftekhimik has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:16 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Neftekhimik against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Chelyabinsk
15
4
3
8
19:26
-7
15
16
Neftekhimik
15
4
1
10
11:22
-11
13
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Neftekhimik: 0.8% Chelyabinsk: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Russia
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Ismagilov A. (G) 
Kacorri L. 
N'Diaye B. 
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