Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelyabinsk		Ural

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.41	2.03
	4.43	3.61	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.75)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
22.8%

Draw
27.1%

Ural
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.3%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

27.5%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Chelyabinsk - Ural Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 66. Gudkov Y. 91. Baytukov R. 27. Kochiev K. (C) 21. Berdnikov A. 77. Samoilov D. 18. Kertanov K. 19. Komissarov T. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 70. Levin G. 11. Gongadze G.	57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. (C) 16. Italo 46. Mamin A. 14. Zheleznov Y. 6. Sungatulin F. 13. Akbashev R. 21. Ivanisenia D. 44. Malkevich V. 10. Sekulic M. 97. Ishkov I.
Substitutes
33. Agaev A. 5. Gatin B. 47. Glukhov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 7. Malyarov N. 17. N'Diaye B. 14. Palkin V. 15. Pushkarev D. 44. Rusyaev I. 2. Zhirov A.	4. Bardachev M. 19. Bogomolskiy E. 37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 11. Karapuzov V. 86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 34. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Berezutskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Zheleznov Y. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Mamin A. ⚽,
37', Akbashev R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gongadze G. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Sekulic M. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Selikhov A. 🟥,
77', Berdnikov A. ↓, Eza W. ↑,
77', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
77', Ishkov I. ↓, Kuznetsov I. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Levin G. ⚽,
83', Samoilov D. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
86', Baytukov R. ↓, Zhirov A. ↑,
87', N'Diaye B. 🟨,
88', Akbashev R. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
88', Mamin A. ↓, Margasov T. ↑,
90+7', Sekulic M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Chelyabinsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ural is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chelyabinsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ural will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ural: 7.82% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	14	25
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ural - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTL
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Ural	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Ural - Ufa	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ural - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:0 ✺
29.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.11.25	Ural - Chelyabinsk	1:0
Russian Cup
21.09.16	Chelyabinsk - Ural	0:3

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