The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Veles Moscow 41.3%
Draw 31.4%
Shinnik 27.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
31.1%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
32%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Veles Moscow - Shinnik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Samok S. (G) 10. Bammatgereev M. 90. Galkin V. 9. Giraev K. 5. Koloskov A. 11. Korolkov K. 15. Pliev K. 97. Shubin A. 23. Skvortsov K. 77. Smirnov O. 22. Zavezen Y. (C)
66. Yanovich N. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 27. Chernyi A. 23. Chistyakov N. 50. Golubev A. 10. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 88. Mironov D. 15. Samoylov D. (C) 54. Shmakov I. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
99. Abdokov N. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 17. Kotov P. 94. Kuchugura D. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 87. Nikin I. 88. Sadov D. 18. Sergeev D. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
77. Antonov A. 19. Arbuzov Y. 14. Kalinin G. 49. Karaev M. 33. Lavrenkov A. 7. Martovoy D. 21. Pushkarev D. 95. Vambolt D. (G) 13. Yanov D.
Coaches
Stukalov A.
Boyarintsev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Valiakhmetov E. ⚽,
45', Bammatgereev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Nikin I. ↑,
65', Mironov D. ↓, Lavrenkov A. ↑,
65', Samoylov D. ↓, Martovoy D. ↑,
71', Shmakov I. ↓, Yanov D. ↑,
71', Gongapshev A. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
74', Skvortsov K. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
74', Korolkov K. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
74', Shubin A. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Giraev K. ⚽,
77', Zavezen Y. ↓, Sergeev D. ↑,
85', Azyavin I. ↓, Karaev M. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 8th).
Veles is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Shinnik have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Veles could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Shinnik has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Veles holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Veles has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Veles against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).
Belarus
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Samok S. (G) 
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