Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 29

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Veles Moscow		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.25	2.86
	2.3	3.24	3.02	Watch
	2.32	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
39.5%

Draw
28.8%

Shinnik
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Veles Moscow - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Veles is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shinnik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Veles won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Veles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
22.04.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Veles Moscow	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	KAMAZ - Veles Moscow	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Rubin Kazan - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLTT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
22.04.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Rubin Kazan - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.10.22	Shinnik - Veles Moscow	2:0
29.11.20	Veles Moscow - Shinnik	4:2
22.08.20	Shinnik - Veles Moscow	1:2

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