Match Info

K League 2 - Round 28

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Cheonan Stadium (Cheonan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Cheonan City		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.15	3.20	2.95
	2.32	3.20	2.65
	2.22	3.34	3.39
	2.42	3.33	2.86	Watch
	2.19	3.30	3.35
	2.23	3.28	3.18	Watch
	2.19	3.20	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	3.05 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheonan City
41.4%

Draw
28.4%

Gyeongnam
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cheonan City - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cheonan City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gyeongnam will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Park Dae-Han (G) 66. Jeong Ji-hwang 6. Choi Kyu-Baek (C) 24. Kwon Yong-seung 77. Lee Kyu-Min 99. Bruno Lamas 17. Lee Ji-Seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 14. Koo J. 10. Toungara A. 94. Willyan	13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 30. Jung Hyun-Wook 39. Lucao 14. Jeon M. 55. Jang Seung-woo 77. Kim Ha-min 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 22. Kim Hyeong-Won (C) 66. Cho Sang-Jun 90. Kim Hyeon-oh
Substitutes
18. Ahn Chang-Min 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 70. Gustavo Sarjani 8. Her Dong-Min 19. Jin Ui-jun 5. Ko Tae-Won 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun 33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G)	26. Choi Jung-Won 70. Felipe Fonseca 29. Karadzic A. 18. Kim Seon-Ho 31. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 8. Lee Chan-Dong 71. Lee Heon-Jae 99. Lee Jung-Min 27. Son Ho-Jun
Coaches
Park Jin-sub	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lee Kyu-Min ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
29', Jung Hyun-Wook 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jang Seung-woo ↓, Son Ho-Jun ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Willyan ⚽, Lee Ji-Seung (A),
61', Jeon M. 🟨,
61', Koo J. 🟨,
63', Jeon M. ↓, Felipe Fonseca ↑,
63', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Lee Heon-Jae ↑,
65', Koo J. ↓, Choi Jun-Hyeok ↑,
75', Jeong Ji-hwang ↓, Ko Tae-Won ↑,
75', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Gustavo Sarjani ↑,
82', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Kim Seon-Ho ↑,
90', Kim Ha-min ↓, Karadzic A. ↑,
90+9', Ko Tae-Won 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Cheonan City (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Gyeongnam shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cheonan City has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cheonan City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	26	8	10	8	31:31	0	34
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31:37	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheonan City	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Suwon - Cheonan City	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Cheonan City - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLL
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
20.09.26	Yongin - Gyeongnam	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gimhae - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:1
23.11.25	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:0
26.07.25	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	4:0
24.05.25	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	3:1
05.10.24	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	3:1
28.07.24	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	3:3
07.04.24	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	2:2

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